With that being said, basketball is my least favorite showdown sport as it is the most predictable sport. James is a daily fantasy sports veteran dating all the way back to his days of writing content on DraftStreet.com for contest tickets. DK Showdown: Packers vs. Rams @KevinColePFF provides top-level insight & analysis on: Choosing the right captain Optimal roster construction And more! Optimizer Settings: Simply Remove All Non-QB/RB1/WR1/WR2 from your CAPT player pool. I think also as well, I’m probably going to lower Kenny Stills a bit, because I think Cobb is going to get more playing time than him. However, this beat writer for The Athletic, Nate Taylor, thinks that Darrel Williams will be the number two back and might even split rushing attempts with Clyde Edwards-Helaire. If you are asking where his pass-catchers are, you’d be right! I only have like 3,000 left.” So different showdown slates are going to look differently, but in this one it seems like there’s actually some value at saving the captain’s spot. So unlike other daily fantasy contests, they are based on just a single game. Try us out. DFS Optimizer ️ bit.ly/2N31EmE He’s someone, instead of 5.6, I’m probably going to have him about around eight, right? Access to our daily value report for for the sport(s) you choose. RULE #6: Always stack QB CAPT with at least 2 of his pass-catchers (RB, WR, TE) (85.2% of optimals). DFS Madness’s DraftKings NBA Core 4 – Feb. 6th, 2021; CashKeg’s DFS NBA Top 5 Picks with Breakdown for Prize Picks – Saturday 2/6/21; CashKeg’s DFS NBA First Look for DraftKings and FanDuel Podcast – Saturday 2/6/21 Main Slate It seems to like Sammy Watkins a little bit, and it seems to be game stacking QBs a lot, which if you look at the correlations, opposing QBs are very correlated to each other and that’s really helpful. I’m really curious also to see the Harrison Butker lineups, if they make sense to me. DiscussPW DFS * There have been major changes to our events calendar due to the coronavirus pandemic. If you're putting together a DraftKings Showdown lineup, we have the picks, advice and sleepers to help in your NFL DFS tournaments. We have another problem with this lineup, though. Jorge's top NFL DFS lineup picks for FanDuel, DraftKings, and the AFC Conference Championships showdown slate featuring the Buffalo and Kansas City. Welcome to the Top Flight NFL Optimizer for DraftKings. Optimize, export, and enter your lineups confidently with injury updates, floor and ceiling player projections, and vegas lines and picks all with one winning tool! WAS Vs PIT Slate: Generate Optimal Lineups for Showdown Contests Are You Ready to See the Optimal Lineup for DraftKings? If I’m building 150-300 lineups for a featured slate, I will probably have about 2-3% exposure some of these sub-$1,000 WR4’s or TE3’s in my FLEX positions. But what you can also do is just sort of use this post-build process to take an angle. There Was an Issue. So even if he doesn’t get cut that says to me, “Okay, well, is he really going to be someone who plays a lot?” Probably not. It could be Tyreek Hill has a big touchdown with Patrick Mahomes, Darrel Williams gets some runs, and then DeShaun Watson has a few passing touchdowns, maybe one to Fells, maybe one to Fuller, but there’s not a lot of yards in this game. Next…Advanced Options > Groups > Create New Group > Must Use at Most 1 Player From This Group: HOU DST & KC DST. Kickers win GPP’s….said nobody ever! Interesting; Darren Fells, DeShaun Watson, Will Fuller, so this is an interesting one. The format blends the ease of focusing on a single game with the ability to differentiate yourself from the … Darrel Williams, Tyreek Hill, David Johnson, Patrick Mahomes, DeShaun Watson, Harrison Butker; this is an interesting one. James specializes in College Football - qualifying for the CFB World Championship in 2018, though you can find his content for NFL, NBA, MLB, and NASCAR on FantasyCruncher. *Although I am mainly an MME (mega multi-entry) player with NFL Showdown, and this strategy piece will focus on MME builds, you can certainly use the following rules for single-entry lineups, as well. Optimizer Settings: First of all, remove kicker CAPT’s from your player pool. This tool can prevent a player from appearing in too many lineups or encourage the optimizer to fit a player into more lineups. Username Password Remember Me Forgot Password 7 Day Pass NFL / MMA / MLB / NBA / NHL / NASCAR / CFB / TENNIS $ 37 USD Renews Weekly ALL SPORTS INCLUDED All … I think wide receivers in general have high variance, and I think this is a unique slate because a lot of people traditionally would just want to put the high-scoring player in the captain’s spot. Tampa Bay Buccaneers (13-5) at Green Bay Packers (14-3) NFL DFS DraftKings Showdown Captain Pick. Sign up for us on Wednesday. We have their first-round pick, Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Own% is the Projected Ownership for a specific player on MAIN Slates only. Another person to focus on is some of these wide receivers. Dominate all season long with our DFS Toolkit. RULE #2: Don’t play both kickers (98.6% of optimals), RULE #3: Don’t play a kicker in the CAPT spot (99.3% of optimals). But the thing is on DraftKings is, there’s some high salaries here. Starting to get a little trickier, but this is still pretty much common sense. Double-Elimination Bracket. PGA. The DFS Optimizer simulates every game 10,000 times to help you optimize and build winning DraftKings and FanDuel lineups. If Mahomes throws for 400 yard and 4 scores, what are the chances none of his pass-catchers are included in the optimal lineup? A lot of people are going to look at this and be like, “Okay, I want to make my Patrick Mahomes projection perfect. However, in that certain game outcome, Patrick Mahomes then is forced to throw a lot, and he gets 40 fantasy points. Create winning fantasy football lineups in seconds with our Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS) lineup optimizer. On any single slate, my expectation is that I will enter lineups and lose … Now it supports following dfs sites: How do I create stacks in the Lineup Optimizer? DraftKings is running their main slates for both days, while FanDuel […] 0 kickers appeared in optimals 85 times (59% of the time), with 1 kicker in 56 lineups (39%). When hunting for the perfect lineup, you can help rid yourself of impossibilities by developing a ruleset; a list of guidelines to adhere to based on past optimal lineups. So, let’s just get into the keys of making showdown lineups. I just want to illustrate this point, because the difference between optimizing a lineup for just projection and optimizing it for what might happen in the simulation, right? Because if we optimize for a projection, the lineups are going to look wildly different, right? The NFL DFS season continues with this week’s Christmas Day showdown, and we’re helping you win big money in the first Week 16 NFL DFS contests! This NBA optimizer will quickly become you're go-to for lineup roster construction. Slim to none. I love DFN's simplicity and accuracy. I think Darrel Williams is going to get more run than people think. Since Showdown launched in 2018, Xandamere has been one of the most legendary players in the game — playing DK Showdown cash games at a 70+% win rate and finishing Top Two in a major Showdown tournament 10+ times. On Thursday, this next Thursday, it’s going to be a Houston/Kansas City week one game, right? Because in showdowns, there’s a huge concept of how someone does relative to someone else, in making your lineups good. RULE #1: Play at least one QB in every lineup (88.8% of optimals). This tool can prevent a player from appearing in too many lineups or encourage the optimizer to fit a player into more lineups. Lineup Cruncher Optimizer. An action is counted when a player is liked, locked, or excluded. Loaded with all the Showdown slates weekly through the Super Bowl. NFL DFS Optimizer for DraftKings Showdown contests. Odds report. Please login or purchase a membership below. The fifth rule also revolves around defenses. His daily fantasy football advice and value plays. Create NBA Lineups, Set Exposures, change projections, include and exclude players, and export to DraftKings. If you’re doing 20 lineups, you can mess with this a lot. I certainly believe that. Cheatsheets from our gurus provide that boost of confidence instantly. Join today, and start winning! So thanks again for watching, and good luck with your lineups. Optimal QB/WR Stacking. Maybe I’d use a lot of Darrel Williams. For NHL he had a 58.7% win rate in the 2015-16 season for cash games and a 66.2% win rate for the 2014-15 season. Set your minimum and/or maximum desired share of lineups, for each player, when generating multiple lineups at a time. If you want to be a winner you should hate ties too. At DraftKings, the biggest is their Showdown Captain Mode format. How does the DFS Lineup Optimizer work? Lightning-fast, mobile-friendly NBA Optimizer to help you win your daily fantasy contest. So I actually think seeing this exposure is really important and says to me, “Okay, I want to get him in our lineups.”. There are times you just can not get away from the chalk. Sadly, the reality is that these results aren’t remotely sustainable and run WELL above expectations. So we take our data and we use all our models, and we run it all through our simulator, and we simulate these games thousands of times. So we’re going to use these default settings. There Was an Issue. It seems to favor Darrel Williams. And then let SaberSim pick those lineups for you, because we’re simulating the games and they’re going to be the most optimal lineups for a certain game state. Lineup Lab is an advanced MLB, NBA, NFL, and NHL daily fantasy lineup optimizer for Fanduel, Draftkings, and Yahoo. Zach Ertz (PHI) 3xTravis Kelce (KC) 2xGeorge Kittle (SF) 2xTyler Higbee (LAR)Hunter Henry (LAC)Dallas Goedert (PHI). Xandamere's look at the Week 16 Christmas Day Showdown slate for DFS, including Captain/MVP analysis. Obviously, if we look at Sammy Watkins from last year, he’s in a high-powered offense. And so we’re going to want to do some research, and I think the best way to start is to just look at news, right? Optimizer Settings: Advanced Options > Groups > Create New Group > “Must Use at Least 1 Player From This Group: Mahomes, Mahomes (CAPT), Watson, Watson (CAPT)”. I think they are contests that you can get an edge on, and they’re really fun, and it reminds you to think a lot more. If we can make a decision of who of these guys should be projected better than the other, that might help us a lot. English Premier League soccer continues Monday with a showdown between Leeds United and Crystal Palace at Elland Road. The visiting Chiefs won27-24. RULE #9: Only use QB/RB1/WR1/WR2 or the premier pass-catching tight ends in your CAPT player pool (83.9% of optimals). Next…Advanced Options > Groups > Create New Group > “Must Use at Most 1 Player From This Group: Fairburn & Butker”. Custom NFL DFS Projections. But essentially when it’s set to very high, it means we’re actually going to build your lineups based on just the results of two or even one simulation, right? NBA DFS, NBA Optimizer for DraftKings. Sammy Watkins is another person I’ve done research on. Optimizer Settings: First of all, remove DST CAPT’s from your player pool. No more than 1 punt per lineup (98.6% of optimals), Throughout the NFL season, I’ll be publishing an NFL Showdown DFS write-up each week that will help guide your CAPT pools, punt pools, and general slate-specific strategy for each game. NFL DFS Showdown: TNF Week 1 . Maybe I’d use a lot of David Johnson. So I want to see what we sort of get in the captain’s spot, so I’m going to lower some exposures and see what’s here. I just care about, “Okay, if the game is simulated, would this be the best lineup? Leeds (-118), Crystal Palace (+300) Total: 3; both teams to score: (-163) Clean sheet. … NBA Lineup Optimizer - Try the best DFS Lineup Optimizer for DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy Basketball! See what you think. In this article, we will be breaking down some of our favorite plays on the slate at their positions. Installation. Okay, I want to pair him with Patrick Mahomes. Showdown Difference Between Sports I hate ties! While playing the low-owned punts in a FLEX spot can work at times, very rarely will you find anything other than a QB/RB1/WR1/WR2/TE1 in the CAPT position. DFS Optimizer. He had a 68.2% win rate in 2015 NFL cash games to go along with a 83.5% win rate for the 2014 season. Lineup Optimizer Value Report News Injury Report Lineups Formations Depth Charts Saved Lineups Projections DFS Trends Defense Vs. Pos Stats Player Stats Team Stats Stat Trends Team Trends Tables Team Pages I think Sammy Watkins as well. I probably, if I was just making 20 lineups, I probably would take some more definitive angles. Drew Dinkmeyer is a professional large-field tournament player. I might give Darwin Thompson, keep it the same, and I might put DeAndre Washington at one, right? There are times you just can not get away from … *IMPORTANT – When you open the optimizer, make sure to click on the little DK logo in the top left, and navigate down to “DraftKings Showdown”. Odds report. Leverage our expert projections to generate winning DFS lineups. Okay, well, let me get lineups with these players, because I want these types of lineups.”. If you want to be a winner you should hate ties too. Now, Randall Cobb did sign a 27 million dollar contract in the off-season, and if you look at Airyards.com, another free site I love to use, and you just look at some of the stats on Dallas you can see he actually had 83 targets last year, with a decent target share, a decent aDOT. Oh, crap. An action is counted when a player is liked, locked, or excluded. Just once out of 143 games last season did more than one sub-$1,000 punt wind up in the optimal lineup. Content; Articles; Livestreams I might do this to get more exposure to him. So now we’re focusing a little bit more on the little guys. I may have a small dose of a defense if the game projects to be completely one-sided, but it’s generally not something that will work out. But that’s going to allow us to make some really, really great lineups for you for these showdowns. So it makes sense that we could have a Harrison Butker lineup, so I don’t know if I’m going to remove him at all. $8,000+ Daily Fantasy Nerd is the best tool for DFS analytics and bankroll tracking. So we see here, one, DeAndre Washington is in danger of being cut, right? Username Password Remember Me Forgot Password 7 Day Pass NFL / MMA / MLB / NBA / NHL / NASCAR / CFB / TENNIS $ 37 USD Renews Weekly ALL SPORTS INCLUDED All … In this screencast, he shows how to use the FantasyLabs DFS Optimizer for NBA. Having him in the captain’s spot over Patrick Mahomes would be a detriment to your lineup, and you’re not going to win that million dollars that you really want to win in these tournaments, right? So he’s someone I like. I want my Tyreek Hill projection perfect.” But what you actually should be focusing on is making your Harrison Butker projection perfect, your Sammy Watkins projection perfect, your Kansas City backup running back projection perfect. Optimizer Settings: Advanced Options > Groups > Create New Group > Set Mahomes as the “Key Player” > “If Key Player is Used, Must Use at Least 2 of the Following: list out all of Mahomes’ pass-catchers. Out of 51 optimal lineups with a WR CAPT in 2019, the team’s QB or RB1 was also an optimal FLEX play 49 times. I can just say, max exposure five and we’d only get him once, or I can zero him out and we won’t get him at all, but I’m not going to do that yet. Similar to some of my favorite smaller DFS sports (MMA, LoL, NASCAR, etc), I get to go “optimal lineup hunting”. No more than 1 punt per lineup (98.6% of optimals), Optimizer Settings: Advanced Settings > Groups > Create New Group > “Must Use At Most 1 Player From This Group: (list all of your punts out)”, RULE #1: Play at least one QB in every lineup (88.8% of optimals)RULE #2: Don’t play both kickers (98.6% of optimals)RULE #3: Don’t play a kicker in the CAPT spot (99.3% of optimals)RULE #4: Don’t play both defenses (97.9% of optimals)RULE #5: Don’t play a defense as your CAPT (93.0% of optimals)RULE #6: Always stack QB CAPT with at least 2 of his pass-catchers (RB, WR, TE) (85.2% of optimals)RULE #7: Stack all CAPT’s with at least 2 of their teammates (83.9% of optimals)RULE #8: Stack All WR CAPT’s with either his QB or RB1 (96.1% of optimals)RULE #9: Only use QB/RB1/WR1/WR2 or the premier pass-catching tight ends in your CAPT player pool (83.9% of optimals)RULE #10: Don’t over-punt. Every so often, the team’s RB1 will outscore the QB, and due to both players likely having high salaries, it’s the RB1 that sneaks in with the WR CAPT instead of his QB. But if you’re not you can also … If you’re saying, “Okay. This often leads to way more […] Brad hates the term fantasy sports expert, so instead he is someone who specializes in NFL, NHL and MLB DFS notes and analysis. The changing DFS and fantasy football landscape is shifting toward single-game contests. Leeds: 30%; Crystal Palace: 15%. Use the SportsLine Advanced-Data Projection Model and DFS Professional Millionaire Mike McClure to identify top DFS picks/plays for your DraftKings and FanDuel lineups. We have a seven-game slate on tap for us this evening. They’re running it back this weekend with the … The Super Bowl is the last NFL DFS football we’ll be getting for the next seven months, but both DraftKings and FanDuel posted massive prize pools and tournaments of all different levels and sizes. SHOWDOWN: WASHINGTON VS. TAMPA BAY Choosing the right captain DFS Optimizer ️ bit.ly/35pRh2F @KevinColePFF breaks it down ⬇️ Because you do that, you’re going to make those lineups where your sixth best guy is going to carry your team, right? Obviously, he’s capable of some big games. Aaron Rodgers, Packers QB (DK $11,200) Rodgers has thrown for an incredible 50 TD’s with just 5 INT’s this season. Set your minimum and/or maximum desired share of lineups, for each player, when generating multiple lineups at a time. In 143 optimal lineups last season, both defenses appeared together just 3 times. Take control of your destiny with the most controllable optimizer in the DFS industry. You are unauthorized to view this page. So let’s say we’re like, “Okay, well, I want Tyreek Hill in the captain’s spot. (DFS) How do I set up different player and position exposures in the Lineup Optimizer? ... Access to our daily lineup optimizer for for the sport(s) you choose. And so I think I’m definitely going to keep some lineups with a captain. So, those are a few layers that I think SaberSim can give you a nice edge in showdowns. ... College Football DFS: National Championship Showdown Slate. So if you don’t know, FanDuel and DraftKings have NFL showdowns, which are these one-game daily fantasy contests that have gotten incredibly popular over the last three years. NFL Lineup Optimizer - Try the best DFS Lineup Optimizer for DraftKings and FanDuel Daily Fantasy Football! I might raise the amount of lineups that are there so I can get him into captain, and then give him 10%, and then change this again. If Mahomes is the CAPT, that likely means he has exceeded his projection by a good amount…so what else does that imply? Be like, “Is there anyone else I want to take an angle on?” Well, as we said before, I don’t really like Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Want to compete in multi-entry DFS tournaments? Levitan: Winning Milly Maker Trends; Levitan: DFS NFL Game Selection; How To Win DFS GPPs: 5 Steps; Dinkmeyer: How To Win With Optimizer Part 1; Dinkmeyer: How To Win With Optimizer Part 2; Dinkmeyer: Optimizer Q&A; Dinkmeyer: NFL GPP Mistakes; How to Beat Showdown; DFS Sites: Free Money; Rankings. There Was an Issue. And if you don’t yet have a subscription to our NBA product, click here. This is going to be a low-scoring slate where Houston really fails to move the ball, does not do very well, and Kansas City does do well, well enough where they’re scoring quite a bit, but maybe not scoring touchdowns. If we have Randall Cobb, he’s someone who could be the highest-scoring wide receiver on Houston. Access to draft kits, player news, injury updates, depth charts, lineups, rankings, cheat sheets, auction values, projections, articles and everything else on our site - for the sport(s) you choose. "This tool is absolutely a must and is so easy to use and understand that my kid who knows nothing about playing fantasy football can make a lineup. DraftKings is running their main slates for both days, while FanDuel […] Because basically what we’re trying to do is, we’re trying to just stuff the angles and the lineup types that we want into our lineups, and not worry about projection as much. 23 had at least 2 pass-catchers, and for now, that is what I will suggest you guys do when building your lineups…at least until we can get some more data. DFS Strategy. The format blends the ease of focusing on a single game with the ability to differentiate yourself from the competition by choosing a total of six players.
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